新组合模型在光电功率预测中的应用

为提高光伏预测要求的精准性,文章提出一种新算法将神经网络和ARMA算法改进组合,构成NEW ARMA-BP模型算法.以某30兆瓦的光伏电站采集的输出功率为输入样本,基于ARMA和BP神经网络算法在Matlab环境下依次搭建了相应的预测模型,预估光伏短期输出量.采用"误差正态检验图"判断基于两种不同算法的误差水平,依据两种单模型预测误差,运用所提出的新方法计算权值并获得新的预测值.基于Matlab的仿真结论验证了组合预测在光伏输出预测领域的适用性.     

窄线宽光纤激光器在1030 nm波段实现3 kW近衍射极限输出

基于大模场面积掺镱光纤搭建了全光纤1030 nm高功率窄线宽光纤激光主振荡功率放大系统,实现了3004 W的最高功率输出,斜率效率69.27%,是目前报道的输出功率最高的1030 nm波段近衍射极限光纤激光器。最高输出功率时,x,y方向的光束质量因子分别为1.169,1.174,3 dB光谱宽度为0.18 nm,放大自发辐射抑制比达到37 dB。     

光电导天线太赫兹辐射峰值调控研究

针对微结构光电导天线与飞秒激光之间相互作用效应以及辐射太赫兹波调控问题进行了研究。采用德鲁德-洛伦兹理论模型获得微结构光电导天线辐射光电流密度,通过时域有限差分把光电流密度迭代在激励网格上,结合麦克斯韦方程求解时变电磁场,并通过传输线格林函数获得多层介质近场到远场的辐射太赫兹波,建立了辐射光电流与辐射阻抗、电磁共振模式之间的关系模型,模拟仿真分析了微结构S型光电导天线太赫兹波辐射调控机理。研究结果表明:微结构改变了天线等效模型的辐射阻抗;同时得知耦合系数不为零时存在耦合作用,且随着耦合系数增大共振频率峰值发生辐射增强和位移;并通过设计S型光电导天线获得辐射峰值频率调整范围为0.50~0.80 THz之间,对比工形天线辐射峰值频率由原来的0.40 T移动到0.76 T,频率调整度75%,峰值辐射效率约提高70%。该研究工作为后续高功率光导天线太赫兹波辐射的共振中心频点以及结构设计奠定重要基础。     

激光雷达扫描方式

为实现激光束对空域的有效扫描和探测,研究了栅形扫描、李萨茹形扫描、螺旋形扫描和六边形扫描四种常见的激光雷达扫描方式,推导了相应的扫描方程,讨论了参数的物理意义及调整方法;重点研究了栅形扫描和六边形扫描方式下光斑的分布情况,通过仿真分析了两种扫描方式下光束的漏扫率和重叠率,结果表明,在相同扫描条件下六边形扫描方式的漏扫区域最少。展示了基于上述研究内容的扫描控制系统实物图及扫描图案。分析总结了四种扫描方式的特点,给出了每种扫描方式的适用情况及使用建议。     

Na原子链表面等离激元特性的含时密度泛函研究

本文用含时密度泛函理论研究了线性Na原子链的表面等离激元机理.主要在原子尺度下模拟计算了体系随着原子数增加及原子间距变化的集体激发过程.研究发现线性原子链有一个普遍的特性——存在一个纵模和两个横模.两个横模一般在实验上很难被观测到.纵模随着原子链长度增加,能量红移的同时,该纵模主峰的强度呈线性增长.随着原子个数的增加,端点模式(TE)开始蓝移,能量和偶极强度都逐渐趋向饱和.横模能量被劈裂的原因概括如下:(一)每个位置的电子受到的势不同,在两端的电子受到的势要比在中间的电子受到的势要高,因此两端的电荷积累也比中间多;(二)端点存在悬挂键,所以中间的电子-电子间相互作用与端点的不一样,这两方面又都与原子间距d有关.     

三维非连续变形分析方法碰撞分析及其应用

将具有完备动力学理论的非连续变形分析(DDA)方法应用于块体碰撞研究。基于三维DDA(3D DDA)方法,按时步输出块体碰撞过程速度变化和接触嵌入量,进而得到块体碰撞恢复系数、冲量、冲击力。以此为参考指标,采用斜抛、面-面对心等碰撞模型,验证3D DDA方法模拟块体碰撞的有效性,并将3D DDA方法应用于多米诺骨牌倾倒、滚石边坡成灾及防护等算例分析,探讨了多米诺骨牌倾倒机制、滚石启动及运动行为、滚石灾害防护方案。结果表明:多米诺骨牌间距越大,同一块体被碰撞时间越迟,其最终稳定时间也越迟,与下一块体碰撞的动能越大;滚石运动呈侧向平动及转动三维运动特征,每一次碰撞,均引起动能、轨迹或状态的显著变化;滚石拦挡设施弹簧刚度越大,越先达到最大冲击力,最大冲击力随弹簧刚度的增加而减小;可结合树木阻挡效应,耗散滚石动能,降低滚石飞跃高度,使滚石灾害减轻或控制在防护范围以内。     

基于CEEMD的重大事件对香港住宅价格影响的实证分析

应用互补集成经验模态分解（CEEMD）方法对香港1997―2018年的住宅价格月度数据进行了分解，将经过重构后的数据分成高频序列、低频序列与残差项。将BP多断点检测应用于低频序列，并结合样本时段内的重大事件进行实证分析。结果表明：1997年亚洲金融风暴对房价的影响大于2008年金融危机；外部经济体的救市政策间接地影响香港房价；在经济不景气的大环境下“孙九招”政策没有立即见效；资本投资者入境计划、住房供给调整与按揭贷款调整对房价的影响较为显著；税收调整对房价影响不显著、对交易量影响显著；SARS爆发使住宅价格下降约1%。     

On the use of edge cracked short bend beam specimen for PMMA fracture toughness testing under mixed-mode I/II

In this paper an inclined edge cracked short beam specimen subjected to symmetric three-point bend loading was designed and examined for conducting mixed-mode I/II fracture toughness experiments. The aspect ratio (i.e. length to width ratio) and the loading span distance are considered much lower than the other conventional cracked bend beam samples. Crack tip parameters such as stress intensity factors and T-stress were computed numerically for this specimen by several finite element analyses and it was demonstrated that the specimen is able to produce full combinations of mode I and II including pure mode II. The practical capability of the short bend beam specimen was studied experimentally by conducting a set of mixed-mode fracture tests on PolymethylMethacrylate (PMMA) as a well-known model brittle material. The critical stress intensity factors, the direction of fracture kinking and the path of fracture trajectory were investigated both experimentally and theoretically using two stress and strain-based fracture criteria. The fracture toughness of tested PMMA was decreased by moving towards mode II case due to the effect of T-stress on the fracture mechanism of the short bend beam specimen.     

Fatigue Behavior of Composite Sandwich Panels Under Three Point Bending Load

In this paper, the bending fatigue tests of honeycomb sandwich panels are carried out by using an improved three-point bending test fixture, and the S-N curves at different stress ratios are obtained. Through the records of fatigue damage in the experiment, the failure mode of the honeycomb sandwich panels and the source of fatigue damage are determined. At the same time, through the calculation of the shear stress distribution on the honeycomb wall, the reasons for the difference in the failure morphology of the L-direction and W-direction sandwich panels are clarified. Besides, a life prediction method is proposed and its effectiveness in predicting the fatigue life of sandwich panels has been verified.     

Screening gas-phase chemical kinetic models: Collision limit compliance and ultrafast timescales

Detailed gas-phase chemical kinetic models are widely used in combustion research, and many new mechanisms for different fuels and reacting conditions are developed each year. Recent works have highlighted the need for error checking when preparing such models, but a useful community tool to perform such analysis is missing. In this work, we present a simple online tool to screen chemical kinetic mechanisms for bimolecular reactions exceeding collision limits. The tool is implemented on a user-friendly website, cloudflame.kaust.edu.sa, and checks three different classes of bimolecular reactions; (ie, pressure independent, pressure-dependent falloff, and pressure-dependent PLOG). In addition, two other online modules are provided to check thermodynamic properties and transport parameters to help kinetic model developers determine the sources of errors for reactions that are not collision limit compliant. Furthermore, issues related to unphysically fast timescales can remain an issue even if all bimolecular reactions are within collision limits. Therefore, we also present a procedure to screen ultrafast reaction timescales using computational singular perturbation. For demonstration purposes only, three versions of the rigorously developed AramcoMech are screened for collision limit compliance and ultrafast timescales, and recommendations are made for improving the models. Larger models for biodiesel surrogates, tetrahydropyran, and gasoline surrogates are also analyzed for exemplary purposes. Numerical simulations with updated kinetic parameters are presented to show improvements in wall-clock time when resolving ultrafast timescales.